
However, the popularity of social networks will eventually translate into revenues. IDC estimates that social networks made about US$400 million in revenues in 2006, but could make as much as US$1 billion this year.
To generate new revenues in the future, the analyst firm expects that most social network services will employ a mix of business models, including advertising, subscriptions and e-commerce.
Of these three models, only advertising scales well enough to make social networks interesting for portals and major media companies.
So far, however, IDC noted that little advertising can be found on social networks. And while the issues underlying slow ad sales may eventually be solved, some services may never be able to attract brand advertisers on a large scale.
"Social networks cannot guarantee a brand-safe environment. Advertisers do not want to see their ads displayed alongside illicit content, for example," said Karsten Weide, programme director for IDC's Digital Marketplace: Media and Entertainment.
"The dilemma for social networks is that, if they start to control what content users can post, they will lose the popularity that attracted advertisers in the first place."