IPv4 addresses to run out in 12 months

 

Stark warning for the IT industry.

According to the chief executive of the American Registry for Internet Numbers (ARIN) the remaining IPv4 addresses available to the industry will run out in less than a year.

Speaking to the ReadWriteWeb blog ARIN chief executive John Curran said that less than six percent of IPv4 internet addresses have yet to be allocated and this will only see the industry though the next 12 months.

The IT industry needs to move to IPv6 as soon as possible he said.

"Deployment [of IPv6] is where we're behind," he said, warning that companies need to address the IPv6 platform issue quickly.

IPv4 addresses are derived from a 32-bit number string, compared to the 128 number string used in the IPv6 system. With the number of internet connected devices increasing at a staggering rate, the amount of addresses available is facing a crunch point, something industry experts have been warning about.

Last month Vint Cerf, the so-called father of the internet, told the IPv6 conference that he was seriously concerned about the situation.

“We're now down below the ten percent level with IPv4 available addresses and certainly within a year's time the allocations will have been exhausted,” he said.

“Plainly we are at cusp in the IP address space for internet.”

He warned that the shortage could lead to a black market in IPv4 address spaces, leading to industry fragmentation.

Copyright ©v3.co.uk


IPv4 addresses to run out in 12 months
"Better polish up your NAT skills gentlepersons"
By jimjims
 
 
 
Comments: 4
Res
Jul 26, 2010 8:43 AM
*chuckles*
They have been saying this exact same thing every 2 or so years since 1995! here we are 15 years later, and, well bugger me, the world has not fallen apart.
nate.cochrane
Jul 26, 2010 12:30 PM
I recall Geoff Huston telling me something like this in 1995 or '96 - the end of IPv4 was to be bigger than Y2K, he said (he could ultimately be proved right). We get pressers on this topic from APNIC every few months, with a failure date pushed slightly farther out than the previous presser.

What stalled the impending IPocalypse was network address translation or NAT, which links the internal network IP addresses (typically 192.168.1.xxx) to the real IP address of the network vidible to the outside world.

Although with a resurgence of machine-to-machine or M2M communications it's likely that IPv4 will eventually fail.

But when is a guess at best. There are a lot of ranges that need to be given back in the existing address space and until vendors include IPv6 by default in their stacks and networking recommendations, IPv4 will roll on especially in home networks and small business.
Ace
Jul 27, 2010 1:45 PM
Is there a reason not to go fully IPv6? If not, I don't know why we just don't get on with it. I suspect there's quite a bit of software that needs to be 'fixed' to accept IPv6 addresses instead of the 4 octets, but a concerted move to IPv6 might actually inspire people to make the fix.

There is no doubt IPv4 will run out one day, nobody really knows when, but it will run out. Did we wait till we ran out of phone numbers before going to 8 digits? No, and it seems like a good thing.
jimjims
Jul 28, 2010 6:49 PM
Better polish up your NAT skills gentlepersons
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